AFTE Store - Comments on the Application of Theoretical Probability Models including Bayes Theorem in Forensic Science Relating Firearm and Tool Marks

The comparison of firearm and tool marks is of great importance in forensic science. Examiners magnify the marks using a microscope and decide, on the basis of their experience, whether the degree of similarity is sufficient for an identification. One aim of scientific research is to develop probability models to make objective and reproducible results possible. In this paper comments are made on the application of Bayes’ rule. Additionally, the extent to which an objective description of forensic science evidence is possible by the application of probability models is discussed.

Full Journal: AFTE Journal Vol 39 No 1 (2007)